Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 37

Severe Weather near Lancaster

ChesterUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 6 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 12 June 2026 at 01:01 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 119th strongest of the 283 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 20 May 2026.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued June 11 at 8:52PM EDT until June 11 at 9:00PM EDT by NWS Mount Holly NJ

An estimated 364,324 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 17 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 37 out of 100, at 79 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)37 / 100
Our confidence79%
Coordinates39.9583, -75.9854
Nearest CityLancaster (29 km)
Population Exposed364.3K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-06-12T00:52:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.35b22184183adbcb56c1a9176d180050

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
18
historical

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescBerks, PA; Carbon, PA; Lehigh, PA; Caroline, MD; Kent, MD; Queen Anne's, MD; Talbot, MD; Anne Arundel, MD; Baltimore, MD; Calvert, MD; Cecil, MD; Charles, MD; Harford, MD; Howard, MD; Prince Georges, MD; St. Marys, MD; Baltimore City, MD; King George, VA; Spotsylvania, VA; Stafford, VA; City of Fredericksburg, VA and 4 more areas
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Warning issued June 11 at 8:52PM EDT until June 11 at 9:00PM EDT by NWS Mount Holly NJ
Expires2026-06-11T21:01:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Mount Holly NJ
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount7
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.35b22184183adbcb56c1a9176d180050497b1070.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.fb449c37b46999b61a6c5d728e81438221452636.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3465cbaa0f04431aea1bc947f8838d495fa9fad9.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.731f5b6f4a1a2170bc74187bc50c5b8ebbbe134e.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.20cd902eac595a5692a575cbf83e3ca8ce96821c.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.45140a80b2c989c1c4c0f49786e683da5b3d882c.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ec268c4d1d14dad7c4856b041c11a995e73e1d8e.001.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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